Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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RELX Plc (REL.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: PublishingSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$55.45 - $193.91$91.60
Multi-Stage$62.07 - $68.05$65.01
Blended Fair Value$78.30
Current Price$39.37
Upside98.89%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS5.89%7.09%0.600.560.520.490.470.450.420.410.360.31
YoY Growth--5.85%7.73%6.85%4.55%4.51%5.78%4.46%11.57%17.15%3.19%
Dividend Yield--1.64%1.81%2.28%2.04%2.61%2.35%2.62%2.33%2.51%2.59%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3,817.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,266.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,551.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)763.40477.13286.28
Cash Retained (M)1,551.001,551.001,551.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-763.40-477.13-286.28
(=) Excess Retained (M)787.601,073.881,264.73
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,880.741,880.741,880.74
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.420.570.67
LTM Dividend per Share1.201.201.20
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.420.570.67
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.621.781.88
WACC / Discount Rate6.05%6.05%6.05%
Growth Rate3.03%4.03%5.03%
Fair Value$55.45$91.60$193.91
Upside / Downside40.84%132.67%392.53%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3,817.003,970.974,131.164,297.804,471.174,651.534,791.08
Payout Ratio59.37%65.49%71.62%77.75%83.87%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,266.002,600.702,958.723,341.393,750.124,186.384,431.75

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.05%6.05%6.05%
Growth Rate3.03%4.03%5.03%
Year 1 PV (M)2,428.752,452.322,475.89
Year 2 PV (M)2,580.402,630.732,681.55
Year 3 PV (M)2,721.462,801.472,883.03
Year 4 PV (M)2,852.402,964.763,080.41
Year 5 PV (M)2,973.693,120.833,273.73
PV of Terminal Value (M)103,187.16108,292.75113,598.46
Equity Value (M)116,743.85122,262.85127,993.06
Shares Outstanding (M)1,880.741,880.741,880.74
Fair Value$62.07$65.01$68.05
Upside / Downside57.67%65.12%72.86%

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