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Definitive Analysis

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Ratos AB (publ) (RATO-A.ST)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$360.97 - $1,928.66$653.12
Multi-Stage$256.35 - $280.90$268.39
Blended Fair Value$460.76
Current Price$36.86
Upside1,150.02%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS20.65%-8.91%1.240.831.190.920.630.491.942.063.373.41
YoY Growth--49.27%-29.74%28.71%46.38%29.38%-74.92%-5.76%-38.95%-0.98%7.69%
Dividend Yield--3.87%2.44%3.75%1.89%1.33%2.35%9.99%6.33%8.01%6.55%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3,639.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)442.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)3,197.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)727.80454.88272.93
Cash Retained (M)3,197.003,197.003,197.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-727.80-454.88-272.93
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,469.202,742.132,924.08
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)328.66328.66328.66
(=) Excess Retained per Share7.518.348.90
LTM Dividend per Share1.341.341.34
(+) Excess Retained per Share7.518.348.90
(=) Adjusted Dividend8.869.6910.24
WACC / Discount Rate7.13%7.13%7.13%
Growth Rate4.56%5.56%6.56%
Fair Value$360.97$653.12$1,928.66
Upside / Downside879.29%1,671.90%5,132.39%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3,639.003,841.384,055.024,280.534,518.594,769.894,912.99
Payout Ratio12.15%27.72%43.29%58.86%74.43%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)442.001,064.711,755.322,519.463,363.154,292.904,544.51

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.13%7.13%7.13%
Growth Rate4.56%5.56%6.56%
Year 1 PV (M)984.46993.881,003.29
Year 2 PV (M)1,500.681,529.531,558.64
Year 3 PV (M)1,991.612,049.302,108.10
Year 4 PV (M)2,458.162,553.562,651.70
Year 5 PV (M)2,901.223,042.633,189.51
PV of Terminal Value (M)74,413.2278,040.2881,807.42
Equity Value (M)84,249.3688,209.1892,318.66
Shares Outstanding (M)328.66328.66328.66
Fair Value$256.35$268.39$280.90
Upside / Downside595.46%628.14%662.07%

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