Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Qgo Finance Ltd. (QGO.BO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - ConglomeratesSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$741.21 - $873.27$818.38
Multi-Stage$228.44 - $250.59$239.31
Blended Fair Value$528.84
Current Price$41.24
Upside1,182.36%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%0.00%0.600.500.400.200.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--19.98%25.00%100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.18%0.87%0.80%0.87%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)30.50
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1.04
(=) Cash Retained (M)29.46
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)6.103.812.29
Cash Retained (M)29.4629.4629.46
(-) Cash Required (M)-6.10-3.81-2.29
(=) Excess Retained (M)23.3625.6527.17
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)6.956.956.95
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.363.693.91
LTM Dividend per Share0.150.150.15
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.363.693.91
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.513.844.06
WACC / Discount Rate4.98%4.98%4.98%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$741.21$818.38$873.27
Upside / Downside1,697.30%1,884.43%2,017.52%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)30.5032.4834.5936.8439.2441.7943.04
Payout Ratio3.42%20.73%38.05%55.37%72.68%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1.046.7313.1620.4028.5237.6139.81

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate4.98%4.98%4.98%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)6.356.426.48
Year 2 PV (M)11.7211.9412.17
Year 3 PV (M)17.1417.6318.13
Year 4 PV (M)22.6123.4824.37
Year 5 PV (M)28.1329.4930.90
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,500.851,573.341,648.60
Equity Value (M)1,586.801,662.291,740.65
Shares Outstanding (M)6.956.956.95
Fair Value$228.44$239.31$250.59
Upside / Downside453.93%480.29%507.64%

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