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Polynet Public Company Limited (POLY.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Manufacturing - Metal FabricationSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$45.37 - $117.30$109.93
Multi-Stage$17.39 - $18.99$18.18
Blended Fair Value$64.05
Current Price$6.80
Upside841.93%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018
DPS38.74%0.00%0.490.170.760.000.000.100.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--188.41%-77.65%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--7.05%2.07%6.33%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)265.42
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)234.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)31.42
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)53.0833.1819.91
Cash Retained (M)31.4231.4231.42
(-) Cash Required (M)-53.08-33.18-19.91
(=) Excess Retained (M)-21.66-1.7611.51
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)450.00450.00450.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.050.000.03
LTM Dividend per Share0.520.520.52
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.050.000.03
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.470.520.55
WACC / Discount Rate6.60%6.60%6.60%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$45.37$109.93$117.30
Upside / Downside567.16%1,516.58%1,625.00%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)265.42282.67301.04320.61341.45363.65374.56
Payout Ratio88.16%88.53%88.90%89.26%89.63%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)234.00250.25267.62286.19306.05327.28346.46

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.60%6.60%6.60%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)232.56234.76236.96
Year 2 PV (M)231.12235.52239.96
Year 3 PV (M)229.68236.28243.00
Year 4 PV (M)228.26237.03246.06
Year 5 PV (M)226.83237.79249.16
PV of Terminal Value (M)6,675.226,997.637,332.39
Equity Value (M)7,823.668,179.018,547.54
Shares Outstanding (M)450.00450.00450.00
Fair Value$17.39$18.18$18.99
Upside / Downside155.68%167.29%179.33%

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