Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Peab AB (publ) (PEAB-B.ST)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$68.31 - $114.78$88.68
Multi-Stage$130.50 - $143.58$136.91
Blended Fair Value$112.80
Current Price$76.50
Upside47.45%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-19.04%-2.06%1.504.015.144.620.294.324.113.702.672.31
YoY Growth---62.52%-22.03%11.15%1,498.80%-93.30%5.00%11.11%38.46%15.51%25.05%
Dividend Yield--1.96%6.08%9.91%4.88%0.27%6.03%5.00%4.93%3.12%3.23%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,649.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)431.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,218.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)329.80206.13123.68
Cash Retained (M)1,218.001,218.001,218.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-329.80-206.13-123.68
(=) Excess Retained (M)888.201,011.881,094.33
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)286.95286.95286.95
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.103.533.81
LTM Dividend per Share1.501.501.50
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.103.533.81
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.605.035.32
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate-0.29%0.71%1.71%
Fair Value$68.31$88.68$114.78
Upside / Downside-10.70%15.92%50.04%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,649.001,660.701,672.481,684.351,696.301,708.341,759.59
Payout Ratio26.14%38.91%51.68%64.45%77.23%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)431.00646.17864.381,085.651,310.011,537.501,627.62

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate-0.29%0.71%1.71%
Year 1 PV (M)601.16607.19613.22
Year 2 PV (M)748.15763.23778.47
Year 3 PV (M)874.21900.78927.88
Year 4 PV (M)981.401,021.371,062.54
Year 5 PV (M)1,071.601,126.421,183.47
PV of Terminal Value (M)33,170.1434,867.1836,632.97
Equity Value (M)37,446.6639,286.1741,198.55
Shares Outstanding (M)286.95286.95286.95
Fair Value$130.50$136.91$143.58
Upside / Downside70.59%78.97%87.68%

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