Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Parkin Company PJSC (PARKIN.AE)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - Infrastructure OperationsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.79 - $2.79$2.25
Multi-Stage$4.26 - $4.68$4.47
Blended Fair Value$3.36
Current Price$5.50
Upside-38.94%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021
DPS0.00%0.00%0.070.150.140.040.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---55.28%6.46%218.74%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.33%5.08%4.90%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)561.92
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)280.87
(=) Cash Retained (M)281.06
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)112.3870.2442.14
Cash Retained (M)281.06281.06281.06
(-) Cash Required (M)-112.38-70.24-42.14
(=) Excess Retained (M)168.67210.82238.91
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,999.212,999.212,999.21
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.060.070.08
LTM Dividend per Share0.090.090.09
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.060.070.08
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.150.160.17
WACC / Discount Rate6.21%6.21%6.21%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$1.79$2.25$2.79
Upside / Downside-67.48%-59.08%-49.27%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)561.92556.30550.74545.23539.78534.38550.42
Payout Ratio49.98%57.99%65.99%73.99%82.00%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)280.87322.58363.43403.44442.60480.95509.13

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.21%6.21%6.21%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)300.65303.72306.78
Year 2 PV (M)315.69322.17328.71
Year 3 PV (M)326.61336.71347.02
Year 4 PV (M)333.95347.79362.06
Year 5 PV (M)338.21355.82374.16
PV of Terminal Value (M)11,147.4311,727.9012,332.31
Equity Value (M)12,762.5413,394.1114,051.04
Shares Outstanding (M)2,999.212,999.212,999.21
Fair Value$4.26$4.47$4.68
Upside / Downside-22.63%-18.80%-14.82%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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