Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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USU Software AG (OSP2.DE)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Information Technology ServicesSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$36.36 - $113.52$106.38
Multi-Stage$15.85 - $17.31$16.57
Blended Fair Value$61.47
Current Price$16.65
Upside269.21%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2023202220212020201920182017201620152014
DPS5.50%7.65%0.520.500.400.400.400.400.400.350.300.25
YoY Growth--4.52%25.02%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%14.28%16.66%19.99%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.14%2.21%1.77%1.43%3.17%2.77%1.82%1.64%1.78%1.50%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)6.01
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)5.50
(=) Cash Retained (M)0.51
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1.200.750.45
Cash Retained (M)0.510.510.51
(-) Cash Required (M)-1.20-0.75-0.45
(=) Excess Retained (M)-0.69-0.240.06
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)10.5210.5210.52
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.07-0.020.01
LTM Dividend per Share0.520.520.52
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.07-0.020.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.460.500.53
WACC / Discount Rate6.82%6.82%6.82%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$36.36$106.38$113.52
Upside / Downside118.39%538.93%581.78%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)6.016.406.817.267.738.238.48
Payout Ratio91.56%91.25%90.94%90.62%90.31%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)5.505.846.206.586.987.417.84

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.82%6.82%6.82%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)5.415.465.52
Year 2 PV (M)5.335.435.53
Year 3 PV (M)5.245.395.55
Year 4 PV (M)5.165.365.56
Year 5 PV (M)5.085.325.58
PV of Terminal Value (M)140.58147.37154.42
Equity Value (M)166.80174.34182.16
Shares Outstanding (M)10.5210.5210.52
Fair Value$15.85$16.57$17.31
Upside / Downside-4.81%-0.50%3.96%

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