Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Far East Orchard Limited (O10.SI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - ServicesSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2.40 - $5.39$3.47
Multi-Stage$3.16 - $3.47$3.31
Blended Fair Value$3.39
Current Price$1.02
Upside232.74%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-6.05%15.26%0.040.010.010.010.020.050.020.040.010.01
YoY Growth--226.33%83.67%-20.96%-57.74%-63.45%204.68%-62.29%248.13%-6.03%50.36%
Dividend Yield--3.61%1.13%0.59%0.72%1.72%4.27%1.29%3.01%0.76%0.90%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)60.33
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)18.17
(=) Cash Retained (M)42.16
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)12.077.544.52
Cash Retained (M)42.1642.1642.16
(-) Cash Required (M)-12.07-7.54-4.52
(=) Excess Retained (M)30.1034.6237.64
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)489.00489.00489.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.060.070.08
LTM Dividend per Share0.040.040.04
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.060.070.08
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.100.110.11
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate2.22%3.22%4.22%
Fair Value$2.40$3.47$5.39
Upside / Downside135.12%240.66%428.39%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)60.3362.2764.2866.3468.4870.6872.80
Payout Ratio30.11%42.09%54.07%66.04%78.02%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)18.1726.2134.7543.8253.4363.6267.34

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate2.22%3.22%4.22%
Year 1 PV (M)24.3924.6324.87
Year 2 PV (M)30.0930.6831.28
Year 3 PV (M)35.3036.3537.42
Year 4 PV (M)40.0641.6543.29
Year 5 PV (M)44.3846.6048.90
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,371.851,440.281,511.42
Equity Value (M)1,546.081,620.191,697.16
Shares Outstanding (M)489.00489.00489.00
Fair Value$3.16$3.31$3.47
Upside / Downside209.97%224.83%240.26%

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