Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

nVent Electric plc (NVT)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$33.73 - $52.00$42.22
Multi-Stage$59.35 - $65.28$62.26
Blended Fair Value$52.24
Current Price$98.64
Upside-47.04%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.99%0.00%0.760.700.700.710.720.730.380.000.000.00
YoY Growth--8.56%-0.17%-0.59%-1.09%-1.41%91.89%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.46%0.94%1.64%2.04%2.57%4.31%1.38%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)602.10
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)129.50
(=) Cash Retained (M)472.60
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)120.4275.2645.16
Cash Retained (M)472.60472.60472.60
(-) Cash Required (M)-120.42-75.26-45.16
(=) Excess Retained (M)352.18397.34427.44
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)165.98165.98165.98
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.122.392.58
LTM Dividend per Share0.780.780.78
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.122.392.58
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.903.173.36
WACC / Discount Rate7.51%7.51%7.51%
Growth Rate-1.01%-0.01%0.99%
Fair Value$33.73$42.22$52.00
Upside / Downside-65.80%-57.19%-47.28%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)602.10602.05601.99601.94601.88601.83619.88
Payout Ratio21.51%35.21%48.90%62.60%76.30%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)129.50211.96294.40376.83459.25541.64573.39

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.51%7.51%7.51%
Growth Rate-1.01%-0.01%0.99%
Year 1 PV (M)195.19197.16199.13
Year 2 PV (M)249.65254.72259.84
Year 3 PV (M)294.26303.27312.46
Year 4 PV (M)330.24343.79357.75
Year 5 PV (M)358.67377.15396.39
PV of Terminal Value (M)8,423.168,857.299,309.15
Equity Value (M)9,851.1610,333.3810,834.71
Shares Outstanding (M)165.98165.98165.98
Fair Value$59.35$62.26$65.28
Upside / Downside-39.83%-36.88%-33.82%

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