Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Neo Corporate PCL (NEO.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Household & Personal ProductsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$27.92 - $44.64$35.50
Multi-Stage$59.54 - $65.49$62.46
Blended Fair Value$48.98
Current Price$25.75
Upside90.21%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS0.80%0.00%1.675.560.900.700.461.600.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---70.05%520.83%27.03%51.87%-70.99%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--5.89%14.25%2.30%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)808.15
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)405.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)403.15
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)161.63101.0260.61
Cash Retained (M)403.15403.15403.15
(-) Cash Required (M)-161.63-101.02-60.61
(=) Excess Retained (M)241.52302.13342.54
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)300.00300.00300.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.811.011.14
LTM Dividend per Share1.351.351.35
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.811.011.14
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.162.362.49
WACC / Discount Rate6.43%6.43%6.43%
Growth Rate-1.20%-0.20%0.80%
Fair Value$27.92$35.50$44.64
Upside / Downside8.43%37.87%73.38%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)808.15806.54804.93803.32801.72800.12824.12
Payout Ratio50.11%58.09%66.07%74.05%82.02%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)405.00468.53531.80594.82657.59720.10762.31

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.43%6.43%6.43%
Growth Rate-1.20%-0.20%0.80%
Year 1 PV (M)435.83440.24444.65
Year 2 PV (M)460.16469.52478.97
Year 3 PV (M)478.76493.45508.43
Year 4 PV (M)492.34512.57533.43
Year 5 PV (M)501.51527.41554.37
PV of Terminal Value (M)15,493.9916,294.1317,126.99
Equity Value (M)17,862.5818,737.3219,646.84
Shares Outstanding (M)300.00300.00300.00
Fair Value$59.54$62.46$65.49
Upside / Downside131.23%142.55%154.33%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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