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NCR Corporation (NCR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Information Technology ServicesSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$39.80 - $55.63$47.69
Multi-Stage$54.33 - $59.72$56.97
Blended Fair Value$52.33
Current Price$15.73
Upside232.69%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202220212020201920182017201620152014
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.110.100.060.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---100.00%6.67%66.67%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.47%0.26%0.16%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)943.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)16.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)927.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)188.60117.8870.73
Cash Retained (M)927.00927.00927.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-188.60-117.88-70.73
(=) Excess Retained (M)738.40809.13856.28
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)144.70144.70144.70
(=) Excess Retained per Share5.105.595.92
LTM Dividend per Share0.110.110.11
(+) Excess Retained per Share5.105.595.92
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.215.706.03
WACC / Discount Rate10.84%10.84%10.84%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$39.80$47.69$55.63
Upside / Downside153.04%203.20%253.64%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)943.00933.57924.23914.99905.84896.78923.69
Payout Ratio1.70%19.36%37.02%54.68%72.34%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)16.00180.71342.13500.31655.28807.11854.41

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.84%10.84%10.84%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)161.40163.05164.69
Year 2 PV (M)272.90278.50284.16
Year 3 PV (M)356.42367.44378.69
Year 4 PV (M)416.93434.20452.02
Year 5 PV (M)458.64482.52507.39
PV of Terminal Value (M)6,195.546,518.166,854.08
Equity Value (M)7,861.838,243.878,641.02
Shares Outstanding (M)144.70144.70144.70
Fair Value$54.33$56.97$59.72
Upside / Downside245.40%262.19%279.64%

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