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Definitive Analysis

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PT Malacca Trust Wuwungan Insurance Tbk (MTWI.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Insurance - DiversifiedSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2,198.22 - $6,073.47$5,691.73
Multi-Stage$844.20 - $924.23$883.48
Blended Fair Value$3,287.60
Current Price$352.00
Upside833.98%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)89,311.33
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)22,933.26
(=) Cash Retained (M)66,378.06
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)17,862.2711,163.926,698.35
Cash Retained (M)66,378.0666,378.0666,378.06
(-) Cash Required (M)-17,862.27-11,163.92-6,698.35
(=) Excess Retained (M)48,515.8055,214.1559,679.71
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,924.492,924.492,924.49
(=) Excess Retained per Share16.5918.8820.41
LTM Dividend per Share7.847.847.84
(+) Excess Retained per Share16.5918.8820.41
(=) Adjusted Dividend24.4326.7228.25
WACC / Discount Rate6.67%6.67%6.67%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$2,198.22$5,691.73$6,073.47
Upside / Downside524.49%1,516.97%1,625.42%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)89,311.3395,116.56101,299.14107,883.58114,896.01122,364.26126,035.18
Payout Ratio25.68%38.54%51.41%64.27%77.14%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)22,933.2636,660.1252,074.5869,338.0288,625.70110,127.83116,582.54

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.67%6.67%6.67%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)34,044.2834,366.9734,689.67
Year 2 PV (M)44,908.2545,763.6346,627.08
Year 3 PV (M)55,529.2957,123.3358,747.60
Year 4 PV (M)65,911.4068,446.1771,053.35
Year 5 PV (M)76,058.5779,732.2283,546.48
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,192,390.402,298,283.682,408,229.74
Equity Value (M)2,468,842.182,583,716.002,702,893.91
Shares Outstanding (M)2,924.492,924.492,924.49
Fair Value$844.20$883.48$924.23
Upside / Downside139.83%150.99%162.56%

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