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PT Metrodata Electronics Tbk (MTDL.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Technology DistributorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$5,566.09 - $12,214.23$11,446.53
Multi-Stage$1,839.76 - $2,013.69$1,925.13
Blended Fair Value$6,685.83
Current Price$600.00
Upside1,014.30%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS33.24%24.82%21.0014.5010.507.406.605.002.001.061.030.91
YoY Growth--44.83%38.10%41.89%12.12%32.00%150.00%87.88%2.86%13.14%-60.00%
Dividend Yield--3.85%2.40%1.81%1.09%2.04%2.21%0.95%0.67%0.84%0.69%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)754,005.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)294,645.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)459,360.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)150,801.0094,250.6356,550.38
Cash Retained (M)459,360.00459,360.00459,360.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-150,801.00-94,250.63-56,550.38
(=) Excess Retained (M)308,559.00365,109.38402,809.63
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)12,276.8912,276.8912,276.89
(=) Excess Retained per Share25.1329.7432.81
LTM Dividend per Share24.0024.0024.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share25.1329.7432.81
(=) Adjusted Dividend49.1353.7456.81
WACC / Discount Rate6.43%6.43%6.43%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$5,566.09$11,446.53$12,214.23
Upside / Downside827.68%1,807.75%1,935.71%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)754,005.00803,015.33855,211.32910,800.06970,002.061,033,052.191,064,043.76
Payout Ratio39.08%49.26%59.45%69.63%79.82%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)294,645.00395,580.30508,392.31634,198.56774,211.66929,746.98984,240.48

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.43%6.43%6.43%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)368,186.82371,676.74375,166.66
Year 2 PV (M)440,419.10448,807.84457,275.73
Year 3 PV (M)511,359.11526,038.40540,995.95
Year 4 PV (M)581,023.96603,368.50626,351.41
Year 5 PV (M)649,430.52680,798.25713,366.51
PV of Terminal Value (M)20,036,114.6821,003,866.5122,008,656.48
Equity Value (M)22,586,534.1823,634,556.2424,721,812.74
Shares Outstanding (M)12,276.8912,276.8912,276.89
Fair Value$1,839.76$1,925.13$2,013.69
Upside / Downside206.63%220.85%235.61%

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