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Definitive Analysis

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Mavi Giyim Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (MAVI.IS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Apparel - RetailSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$124.40 - $602.65$267.44
Multi-Stage$68.27 - $74.59$71.37
Blended Fair Value$169.41
Current Price$42.30
Upside300.49%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%43.38%1.500.620.170.040.000.000.040.000.000.00
YoY Growth--143.12%256.60%296.84%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%
Dividend Yield--4.65%1.34%1.34%0.86%0.00%0.00%1.57%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,106.66
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,120.98
(=) Cash Retained (M)985.68
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)421.33263.33158.00
Cash Retained (M)985.68985.68985.68
(-) Cash Required (M)-421.33-263.33-158.00
(=) Excess Retained (M)564.35722.35827.68
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)695.20695.20695.20
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.811.041.19
LTM Dividend per Share1.611.611.61
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.811.041.19
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.422.652.80
WACC / Discount Rate7.56%7.56%7.56%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$124.40$267.44$602.65
Upside / Downside194.09%532.24%1,324.71%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,106.662,243.592,389.422,544.742,710.142,886.302,972.89
Payout Ratio53.21%60.57%67.93%75.28%82.64%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,120.981,358.921,623.061,915.792,239.722,597.672,749.93

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.56%7.56%7.56%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,251.591,263.461,275.32
Year 2 PV (M)1,376.801,403.031,429.50
Year 3 PV (M)1,496.771,539.731,583.52
Year 4 PV (M)1,611.641,673.621,737.37
Year 5 PV (M)1,721.581,804.731,891.07
PV of Terminal Value (M)40,002.7641,934.9143,941.01
Equity Value (M)47,461.1549,619.4951,857.79
Shares Outstanding (M)695.20695.20695.20
Fair Value$68.27$71.37$74.59
Upside / Downside61.39%68.73%76.35%

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