Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $5,726.57 - $13,419.39 | $8,415.70 |
| Multi-Stage | $7,470.69 - $8,203.47 | $7,830.12 |
| Blended Fair Value | $8,122.91 | |
| Current Price | $1,355.00 | |
| Upside | 499.48% | |
| Decision | Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | 15.47% | -1.64% | 38.99 | 52.99 | 50.99 | 19.99 | 15.00 | 19.00 | 44.99 | 34.99 | 36.99 | 52.98 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | -26.41% | 3.92% | 155.00% | 33.33% | -21.05% | -57.78% | 28.57% | -5.41% | -30.19% | 15.22% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 3.51% | 5.89% | 5.00% | 1.41% | 1.17% | 2.26% | 4.30% | 2.70% | 2.52% | 2.91% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 1,920,935.00 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 443,234.00 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 1,477,701.00 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 384,187.00 | 240,116.88 | 144,070.13 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 1,477,701.00 | 1,477,701.00 | 1,477,701.00 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -384,187.00 | -240,116.88 | -144,070.13 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 1,093,514.00 | 1,237,584.13 | 1,333,630.88 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 6,819.96 | 6,819.96 | 6,819.96 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 160.34 | 181.46 | 195.55 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 64.99 | 64.99 | 64.99 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 160.34 | 181.46 | 195.55 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 225.33 | 246.46 | 260.54 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.31% | 6.31% | 6.31% |
| Growth Rate | 2.28% | 3.28% | 4.28% |
| Fair Value | $5,726.57 | $8,415.70 | $13,419.39 |
| Upside / Downside | 322.62% | 521.08% | 890.36% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 1,920,935.00 | 1,983,999.03 | 2,049,133.44 | 2,116,406.21 | 2,185,887.53 | 2,257,649.91 | 2,325,379.41 |
| Payout Ratio | 23.07% | 36.46% | 49.84% | 63.23% | 76.61% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 443,234.00 | 723,348.07 | 1,021,376.64 | 1,338,194.06 | 1,674,712.78 | 2,031,884.92 | 2,150,975.95 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.31% | 6.31% | 6.31% |
| Growth Rate | 2.28% | 3.28% | 4.28% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 673,840.99 | 680,428.99 | 687,017.00 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 886,351.75 | 903,767.84 | 921,353.37 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 1,081,805.98 | 1,113,847.00 | 1,146,514.52 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 1,261,190.55 | 1,311,240.21 | 1,362,764.93 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 1,425,442.08 | 1,496,499.28 | 1,570,362.35 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 45,621,171.41 | 47,895,351.86 | 50,259,334.33 |
| Equity Value (M) | 50,949,802.76 | 53,401,135.17 | 55,947,346.50 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 6,819.96 | 6,819.96 | 6,819.96 |
| Fair Value | $7,470.69 | $7,830.12 | $8,203.47 |
| Upside / Downside | 451.34% | 477.87% | 505.42% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ORA | Ormat Technologies, Inc. | 0.42% | $0.48 | 21.81% |
| VLTO | Veralto Corporation | 0.42% | $0.42 | 11.39% |
| CEG | Constellation Energy Corporation | 0.41% | $1.52 | 17.38% |
| EXPE | Expedia Group, Inc. | 0.41% | $1.15 | 10.88% |
| GE | GE Aerospace | 0.40% | $1.29 | 17.08% |
| GEHCV | GE HealthCare Technologies Inc. | 0.40% | $0.23 | 5.05% |
| ATMU | Atmus Filtration Technologies Inc. | 0.39% | $0.20 | 8.42% |
| BMNR | Bitmine Immersion Technologies, Inc. | 0.39% | $0.12 | 0.85% |
| CHDN | Churchill Downs Incorporated | 0.39% | $0.43 | 7.61% |
| PLPC | Preformed Line Products Company | 0.39% | $0.83 | 11.03% |
| AAPL | Apple Inc. | 0.38% | $1.03 | 13.77% |
| AMOT | Allied Motion Technologies Inc. | 0.38% | $0.12 | 21.85% |
| CASY | Casey's General Stores, Inc. | 0.38% | $2.09 | 12.85% |
| EA | Electronic Arts Inc. | 0.38% | $0.77 | 21.92% |
| LOB | Live Oak Bancshares, Inc. | 0.37% | $0.13 | 8.44% |
| PCG-PA | Pacific Gas and Electric Company | 0.37% | $0.08 | 6.94% |
| CTS | CTS Corporation | 0.36% | $0.16 | 8.09% |
| GVA | Granite Construction Incorporated | 0.36% | $0.43 | 12.45% |
| LCORX | Leuthold Core Investment Fund | 0.36% | $0.08 | 4.98% |
| LCRIX | Leuthold Core Investment Fund Class Institutional | 0.36% | $0.08 | 4.98% |
| UHAL | U-Haul Holding Company | 0.36% | $0.18 | 17.87% |
| BOX | Box, Inc. | 0.35% | $0.10 | 6.61% |
| HCC | Warrior Met Coal, Inc. | 0.35% | $0.31 | 47.04% |
| MCK | McKesson Corporation | 0.35% | $2.91 | 8.98% |
| CSWI | CSW Industrials, Inc. | 0.34% | $1.02 | 11.93% |
| MOG-A | Moog Inc. | 0.34% | $0.85 | 11.59% |
| SRBK | SR Bancorp, Inc. Common stock | 0.34% | $0.05 | 9.61% |
| VHAQ-UN | Viveon Health Acquisition Corp. | 0.34% | $0.04 | 17.38% |
| WWD | Woodward, Inc. | 0.34% | $1.05 | 14.70% |
| AGX | Argan, Inc. | 0.33% | $1.08 | 12.72% |
| PJT | PJT Partners Inc. | 0.33% | $0.56 | 13.70% |
| REGN | Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc. | 0.33% | $2.59 | 6.06% |
| LPLA | LPL Financial Holdings Inc. | 0.32% | $1.16 | 11.15% |
| META | Meta Platforms, Inc. | 0.31% | $2.04 | 8.98% |
| ESAB | ESAB Corporation | 0.30% | $0.34 | 8.52% |
| POWL | Powell Industries, Inc. | 0.30% | $1.05 | 7.31% |
| VC | Visteon Corporation | 0.30% | $0.29 | 2.59% |
| WST | West Pharmaceutical Services, Inc. | 0.30% | $0.83 | 12.34% |
| CASH | Pathward Financial, Inc. | 0.29% | $0.21 | 2.52% |
| NGS | Natural Gas Services Group, Inc. | 0.29% | $0.10 | 6.71% |
| PLUS | ePlus inc. | 0.29% | $0.25 | 5.41% |
| RVTY | Revvity, Inc. | 0.29% | $0.28 | 14.01% |
| TMO | Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc. | 0.28% | $1.65 | 9.48% |
| MRVL | Marvell Technology, Inc. | 0.27% | $0.24 | 8.33% |
| VNT | Vontier Corporation | 0.27% | $0.10 | 3.64% |
| DBRG | DigitalBridge Group, Inc. | 0.26% | $0.04 | 9.84% |
| FOUR | Shift4 Payments, Inc. | 0.26% | $0.16 | 7.44% |
| GOOG | Alphabet Inc. | 0.26% | $0.82 | 8.01% |
| TPB | Turning Point Brands, Inc. | 0.26% | $0.29 | 10.22% |
| USB-PA | U.S. Bancorp PERP PFD SER A | 0.26% | $2.02 | 43.68% |