Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

PT Imago Mulia Persada Tbk (LFLO.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Furnishings, Fixtures & AppliancesSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$99.90 - $143.88$121.35
Multi-Stage$162.18 - $178.13$170.00
Blended Fair Value$145.67
Current Price$286.00
Upside-49.06%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS0.00%0.00%3.990.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.50%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)18,478.38
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)5,230.94
(=) Cash Retained (M)13,247.44
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3,695.682,309.801,385.88
Cash Retained (M)13,247.4413,247.4413,247.44
(-) Cash Required (M)-3,695.68-2,309.80-1,385.88
(=) Excess Retained (M)9,551.7610,937.6411,861.56
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,310.611,310.611,310.61
(=) Excess Retained per Share7.298.359.05
LTM Dividend per Share3.993.993.99
(+) Excess Retained per Share7.298.359.05
(=) Adjusted Dividend11.2812.3413.04
WACC / Discount Rate9.06%9.06%9.06%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$99.90$121.35$143.88
Upside / Downside-65.07%-57.57%-49.69%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)18,478.3818,293.5918,110.6617,929.5517,750.2517,572.7518,099.93
Payout Ratio28.31%40.65%52.99%65.32%77.66%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)5,230.947,435.759,595.9411,712.1913,785.1515,815.4816,742.44

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.06%9.06%9.06%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)6,748.896,817.766,886.62
Year 2 PV (M)7,905.028,067.178,230.96
Year 3 PV (M)8,757.119,027.939,304.27
Year 4 PV (M)9,354.959,742.6710,142.32
Year 5 PV (M)9,741.3710,248.6310,776.80
PV of Terminal Value (M)170,044.64178,899.26188,118.96
Equity Value (M)212,551.97222,803.40233,459.93
Shares Outstanding (M)1,310.611,310.611,310.61
Fair Value$162.18$170.00$178.13
Upside / Downside-43.29%-40.56%-37.72%

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