Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Línea Directa Aseguradora, S.A. (LDA.MC)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Insurance - Property & CasualtySector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.79 - $1.19$0.98
Multi-Stage$1.63 - $1.80$1.71
Blended Fair Value$1.35
Current Price$1.35
Upside-0.37%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020201920182017
DPS-21.99%0.00%0.030.000.070.180.030.100.090.150.000.00
YoY Growth--2,652.29%-98.53%-62.59%597.38%-72.70%3.05%-37.10%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.26%0.11%6.86%11.30%1.61%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)97.90
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)45.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)52.90
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)19.5812.247.34
Cash Retained (M)52.9052.9052.90
(-) Cash Required (M)-19.58-12.24-7.34
(=) Excess Retained (M)33.3240.6645.55
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,086.021,086.021,086.02
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.030.040.04
LTM Dividend per Share0.040.040.04
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.030.040.04
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.070.080.08
WACC / Discount Rate6.99%6.99%6.99%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$0.79$0.98$1.19
Upside / Downside-41.80%-27.65%-11.69%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)97.9096.9295.9594.9994.0493.1095.89
Payout Ratio45.97%54.77%63.58%72.39%81.19%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)45.0053.0961.0068.7676.3583.7988.70

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.99%6.99%6.99%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)49.1149.6150.12
Year 2 PV (M)52.2253.2954.37
Year 3 PV (M)54.4556.1457.86
Year 4 PV (M)55.9458.2660.65
Year 5 PV (M)56.8059.7662.84
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,505.311,583.701,665.32
Equity Value (M)1,773.841,860.761,951.15
Shares Outstanding (M)1,086.021,086.021,086.02
Fair Value$1.63$1.71$1.80
Upside / Downside20.99%26.92%33.08%

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