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Definitive Analysis

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Leuthold Core Investment Fund (LCORX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$7.19 - $9.66$8.46
Multi-Stage$18.07 - $20.04$19.03
Blended Fair Value$13.75
Current Price$22.46
Upside-38.79%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2023202220212020201920182017201620152014
DPS0.00%-29.15%0.080.080.080.544.250.004.234.154.113.88
YoY Growth--0.81%1.04%-85.26%-87.24%0.00%-100.00%2.10%0.97%5.78%51.92%
Dividend Yield--0.36%0.40%0.36%2.44%25.04%0.00%20.62%21.85%22.96%20.62%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)37.52
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1.87
(=) Cash Retained (M)35.65
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)7.504.692.81
Cash Retained (M)35.6535.6535.65
(-) Cash Required (M)-7.50-4.69-2.81
(=) Excess Retained (M)28.1530.9632.84
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)22.9522.9522.95
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.231.351.43
LTM Dividend per Share0.080.080.08
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.231.351.43
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.311.431.51
WACC / Discount Rate7.36%7.36%7.36%
Growth Rate-9.18%-8.18%-7.18%
Fair Value$7.19$8.46$9.66
Upside / Downside-68.00%-62.34%-56.98%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)37.5234.4531.6429.0526.6724.4925.23
Payout Ratio4.98%21.99%38.99%55.99%73.00%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1.877.5812.3416.2719.4722.0423.34

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.36%7.36%7.36%
Growth Rate-9.18%-8.18%-7.18%
Year 1 PV (M)6.987.067.13
Year 2 PV (M)10.4710.7010.94
Year 3 PV (M)12.7213.1513.58
Year 4 PV (M)14.0314.6615.31
Year 5 PV (M)14.6415.4616.32
PV of Terminal Value (M)355.72375.73396.64
Equity Value (M)414.55436.76459.92
Shares Outstanding (M)22.9522.9522.95
Fair Value$18.07$19.03$20.04
Upside / Downside-19.56%-15.25%-10.76%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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