Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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KSB SE & Co. KGaA (KSB3.DE)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$12,339.68 - $30,227.36$28,327.46
Multi-Stage$4,394.83 - $4,810.51$4,598.85
Blended Fair Value$16,463.16
Current Price$878.00
Upside1,775.07%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS52.33%7.99%26.1619.6312.134.138.633.197.635.635.638.63
YoY Growth--33.23%61.84%193.79%-52.15%170.66%-58.21%35.54%0.00%-34.77%-28.86%
Dividend Yield--4.36%3.37%3.62%1.12%3.82%1.03%2.69%1.13%1.59%2.33%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)266.15
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)92.40
(=) Cash Retained (M)173.75
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)53.2333.2719.96
Cash Retained (M)173.75173.75173.75
(-) Cash Required (M)-53.23-33.27-19.96
(=) Excess Retained (M)120.52140.48153.79
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1.751.751.75
(=) Excess Retained per Share68.8380.2387.82
LTM Dividend per Share52.7752.7752.77
(+) Excess Retained per Share68.8380.2387.82
(=) Adjusted Dividend121.59132.99140.59
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$12,339.68$28,327.46$30,227.36
Upside / Downside1,305.43%3,126.36%3,342.75%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)266.15283.45301.87321.50342.39364.65375.59
Payout Ratio34.72%45.77%56.83%67.89%78.94%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)92.40129.75171.56218.25270.30328.18347.42

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)120.64121.78122.93
Year 2 PV (M)148.32151.14153.99
Year 3 PV (M)175.44180.48185.61
Year 4 PV (M)202.03209.80217.79
Year 5 PV (M)228.07239.09250.53
PV of Terminal Value (M)6,821.207,150.677,492.74
Equity Value (M)7,695.708,052.968,423.59
Shares Outstanding (M)1.751.751.75
Fair Value$4,394.83$4,598.85$4,810.51
Upside / Downside400.55%423.79%447.89%

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