Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Knights Group Holdings plc (KGH.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Specialty Business ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$12.96 - $38.91$36.47
Multi-Stage$5.32 - $5.82$5.57
Blended Fair Value$21.02
Current Price$1.35
Upside1,456.73%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS17.33%0.00%0.040.040.030.010.000.020.000.000.010.01
YoY Growth--10.72%15.16%148.26%0.00%-100.00%305.31%0.00%-100.00%6.80%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.25%3.05%4.06%1.19%0.00%0.55%0.17%0.00%0.64%0.59%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)17.42
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)7.43
(=) Cash Retained (M)10.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3.482.181.31
Cash Retained (M)10.0010.0010.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-3.48-2.18-1.31
(=) Excess Retained (M)6.517.828.69
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)89.0589.0589.05
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.070.090.10
LTM Dividend per Share0.080.080.08
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.070.090.10
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.160.170.18
WACC / Discount Rate6.77%6.77%6.77%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$12.96$36.47$38.91
Upside / Downside860.28%2,601.17%2,782.34%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)17.4218.5619.7621.0522.4123.8724.59
Payout Ratio42.63%52.11%61.58%71.05%80.53%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)7.439.6712.1714.9518.0521.4822.74

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.77%6.77%6.77%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)8.979.069.14
Year 2 PV (M)10.4710.6710.88
Year 3 PV (M)11.9412.2812.63
Year 4 PV (M)13.3713.8914.42
Year 5 PV (M)14.7715.4816.22
PV of Terminal Value (M)414.25434.25455.03
Equity Value (M)473.77495.64518.31
Shares Outstanding (M)89.0589.0589.05
Fair Value$5.32$5.57$5.82
Upside / Downside294.10%312.29%331.16%

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