Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Kering S.A. (KER.PA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Luxury GoodsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$606.16 - $1,988.04$984.87
Multi-Stage$628.70 - $688.00$657.80
Blended Fair Value$821.33
Current Price$184.56
Upside345.02%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS5.39%13.75%14.0013.9612.108.148.1610.776.184.744.124.12
YoY Growth--0.23%15.44%48.55%-0.18%-24.24%74.25%30.42%15.05%0.00%6.70%
Dividend Yield--5.87%3.50%2.54%1.15%1.37%1.84%1.50%1.23%1.93%2.61%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,805.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,452.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)353.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)561.00350.63210.38
Cash Retained (M)353.00353.00353.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-561.00-350.63-210.38
(=) Excess Retained (M)-208.002.38142.63
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)122.60122.60122.60
(=) Excess Retained per Share-1.700.021.16
LTM Dividend per Share20.0020.0020.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share-1.700.021.16
(=) Adjusted Dividend18.3020.0221.16
WACC / Discount Rate6.51%6.51%6.51%
Growth Rate3.39%4.39%5.39%
Fair Value$606.16$984.87$1,988.04
Upside / Downside228.43%433.63%977.18%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,805.002,928.023,056.443,190.493,330.423,476.483,580.78
Payout Ratio87.42%87.93%88.45%88.97%89.48%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,452.002,574.682,703.402,838.452,980.163,128.833,312.22

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.51%6.51%6.51%
Growth Rate3.39%4.39%5.39%
Year 1 PV (M)2,394.202,417.362,440.52
Year 2 PV (M)2,337.692,383.132,429.01
Year 3 PV (M)2,282.432,349.302,417.47
Year 4 PV (M)2,228.402,315.882,405.90
Year 5 PV (M)2,175.582,282.852,394.31
PV of Terminal Value (M)65,658.4268,895.8572,259.75
Equity Value (M)77,076.7280,644.3784,346.96
Shares Outstanding (M)122.60122.60122.60
Fair Value$628.70$657.80$688.00
Upside / Downside240.65%256.41%272.78%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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