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Krungthai Car Rent and Lease Public Company Limited (KCAR.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Rental & Leasing ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$6.76 - $10.60$8.52
Multi-Stage$12.69 - $13.95$13.31
Blended Fair Value$10.91
Current Price$5.45
Upside100.24%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-24.21%-9.40%0.190.560.450.390.560.760.951.230.540.43
YoY Growth---66.07%24.44%15.38%-30.36%-26.32%-20.00%-22.76%127.78%25.58%-15.69%
Dividend Yield--4.75%8.89%5.56%4.67%6.36%9.56%8.19%8.20%3.46%4.94%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)171.78
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)75.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)96.78
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)34.3621.4712.88
Cash Retained (M)96.7896.7896.78
(-) Cash Required (M)-34.36-21.47-12.88
(=) Excess Retained (M)62.4375.3183.90
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)250.00250.00250.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.250.300.34
LTM Dividend per Share0.300.300.30
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.250.300.34
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.550.600.64
WACC / Discount Rate7.11%7.11%7.11%
Growth Rate-0.95%0.05%1.05%
Fair Value$6.76$8.52$10.60
Upside / Downside23.95%56.34%94.47%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)171.78171.86171.95172.03172.12172.20177.37
Payout Ratio43.66%52.93%62.20%71.46%80.73%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)75.0090.96106.95122.94138.95154.98164.06

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.11%7.11%7.11%
Growth Rate-0.95%0.05%1.05%
Year 1 PV (M)84.0884.9385.78
Year 2 PV (M)91.3793.2295.09
Year 3 PV (M)97.08100.05103.08
Year 4 PV (M)101.42105.58109.86
Year 5 PV (M)104.55109.94115.55
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,693.952,832.712,977.14
Equity Value (M)3,172.453,326.433,486.50
Shares Outstanding (M)250.00250.00250.00
Fair Value$12.69$13.31$13.95
Upside / Downside132.84%144.14%155.89%

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