Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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PT Kabelindo Murni Tbk (KBLM.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4,892.66 - $13,338.13$12,499.78
Multi-Stage$1,844.42 - $2,020.31$1,930.74
Blended Fair Value$7,215.26
Current Price$292.00
Upside2,370.98%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-3.06%0.00%7.987.950.007.939.199.329.324.542.804.66
YoY Growth--0.37%0.00%-100.00%-13.71%-1.47%0.05%105.48%62.21%-39.99%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.81%3.04%0.00%4.02%4.29%3.56%4.05%1.43%0.57%3.73%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)75,116.04
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)9,053.42
(=) Cash Retained (M)66,062.62
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)15,023.219,389.505,633.70
Cash Retained (M)66,062.6266,062.6266,062.62
(-) Cash Required (M)-15,023.21-9,389.50-5,633.70
(=) Excess Retained (M)51,039.4156,673.1160,428.92
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,120.001,120.001,120.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share45.5750.6053.95
LTM Dividend per Share8.088.088.08
(+) Excess Retained per Share45.5750.6053.95
(=) Adjusted Dividend53.6558.6862.04
WACC / Discount Rate6.66%6.66%6.66%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$4,892.66$12,499.78$13,338.13
Upside / Downside1,575.57%4,180.75%4,467.85%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)75,116.0479,998.5885,198.4990,736.3996,634.25102,915.48106,002.94
Payout Ratio12.05%27.64%43.23%58.82%74.41%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)9,053.4222,113.2636,832.6253,372.0871,906.0592,623.9398,052.72

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.66%6.66%6.66%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)20,538.3920,733.0720,927.74
Year 2 PV (M)31,773.1332,378.3232,989.22
Year 3 PV (M)42,761.7343,989.2645,240.07
Year 4 PV (M)53,508.1955,565.9657,682.53
Year 5 PV (M)64,016.4867,108.5070,318.86
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,853,147.101,942,654.802,035,588.17
Equity Value (M)2,065,745.032,162,429.922,262,746.59
Shares Outstanding (M)1,120.001,120.001,120.00
Fair Value$1,844.42$1,930.74$2,020.31
Upside / Downside531.65%561.21%591.89%

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