Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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KABE Group AB (publ.) (KABE-B.ST)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - Recreational VehiclesSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$362.99 - $2,077.41$681.29
Multi-Stage$221.45 - $241.61$231.35
Blended Fair Value$456.32
Current Price$227.50
Upside100.58%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS8.00%8.62%8.008.007.007.560.005.455.565.004.003.56
YoY Growth--0.00%14.29%-7.35%0.00%-100.00%-2.00%11.11%25.00%12.50%1.59%
Dividend Yield--3.04%2.59%3.33%2.96%0.00%5.19%3.67%2.75%1.97%2.69%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)94.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)72.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)22.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)18.8011.757.05
Cash Retained (M)22.0022.0022.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-18.80-11.75-7.05
(=) Excess Retained (M)3.2010.2514.95
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)9.009.009.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.361.141.66
LTM Dividend per Share8.008.008.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.361.141.66
(=) Adjusted Dividend8.369.149.66
WACC / Discount Rate7.93%7.93%7.93%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$362.99$681.29$2,077.41
Upside / Downside59.56%199.47%813.15%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)94.00100.11106.62113.55120.93128.79132.65
Payout Ratio76.60%79.28%81.96%84.64%87.32%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)72.0079.3687.3896.10105.59115.91122.70

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.93%7.93%7.93%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)72.8473.5374.22
Year 2 PV (M)73.6175.0176.43
Year 3 PV (M)74.3176.4478.62
Year 4 PV (M)74.9477.8280.78
Year 5 PV (M)75.5079.1582.93
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,621.591,699.921,781.24
Equity Value (M)1,992.792,081.872,174.22
Shares Outstanding (M)9.009.009.00
Fair Value$221.45$231.35$241.61
Upside / Downside-2.66%1.69%6.20%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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