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Definitive Analysis

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Jyske Bank A/S (JYSK.CO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4,697.39 - $16,984.95$14,889.72
Multi-Stage$2,145.27 - $2,347.47$2,244.52
Blended Fair Value$8,567.12
Current Price$708.00
Upside1,110.05%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%8.228.220.000.000.000.0016.4115.808.120.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%3.85%94.53%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.49%1.41%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%6.19%4.46%2.30%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)5,193.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,570.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)3,623.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,038.60649.13389.48
Cash Retained (M)3,623.003,623.003,623.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,038.60-649.13-389.48
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,584.402,973.883,233.53
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)60.8060.8060.80
(=) Excess Retained per Share42.5048.9153.18
LTM Dividend per Share25.8225.8225.82
(+) Excess Retained per Share42.5048.9153.18
(=) Adjusted Dividend68.3274.7379.00
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$4,697.39$14,889.72$16,984.95
Upside / Downside563.47%2,003.07%2,299.00%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)5,193.005,530.555,890.036,272.886,680.627,114.867,328.31
Payout Ratio30.23%42.19%54.14%66.09%78.05%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,570.002,333.143,188.854,145.955,214.006,403.376,778.68

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)2,159.332,179.802,200.27
Year 2 PV (M)2,731.442,783.472,835.99
Year 3 PV (M)3,286.713,381.063,477.19
Year 4 PV (M)3,825.493,972.614,123.93
Year 5 PV (M)4,348.154,558.164,776.22
PV of Terminal Value (M)114,090.57119,601.19125,322.71
Equity Value (M)130,441.69136,476.29142,736.31
Shares Outstanding (M)60.8060.8060.80
Fair Value$2,145.27$2,244.52$2,347.47
Upside / Downside203.00%217.02%231.56%

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