Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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JSE Limited (JSE.JO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - Data & Stock ExchangesSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$326.28 - $598.82$438.82
Multi-Stage$295.31 - $322.43$308.62
Blended Fair Value$373.72
Current Price$133.27
Upside180.42%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-1.95%6.62%7.957.788.677.388.568.776.325.866.545.02
YoY Growth--2.14%-10.23%17.43%-13.78%-2.39%38.69%7.92%-10.36%30.29%19.88%
Dividend Yield--6.58%8.42%7.99%6.59%7.61%7.34%3.82%3.82%3.98%3.92%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,813.76
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)659.84
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,153.91
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)362.75226.72136.03
Cash Retained (M)1,153.911,153.911,153.91
(-) Cash Required (M)-362.75-226.72-136.03
(=) Excess Retained (M)791.16927.191,017.88
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)83.0283.0283.02
(=) Excess Retained per Share9.5311.1712.26
LTM Dividend per Share7.957.957.95
(+) Excess Retained per Share9.5311.1712.26
(=) Adjusted Dividend17.4819.1220.21
WACC / Discount Rate9.91%9.91%9.91%
Growth Rate4.32%5.32%6.32%
Fair Value$326.28$438.82$598.82
Upside / Downside144.82%229.27%349.33%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,813.761,910.232,011.842,118.852,231.552,350.252,420.76
Payout Ratio36.38%47.10%57.83%68.55%79.28%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)659.84899.791,163.401,452.511,769.092,115.232,239.20

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.91%9.91%9.91%
Growth Rate4.32%5.32%6.32%
Year 1 PV (M)810.91818.69826.46
Year 2 PV (M)944.92963.12981.50
Year 3 PV (M)1,063.201,094.071,125.53
Year 4 PV (M)1,167.011,212.411,259.12
Year 5 PV (M)1,257.521,318.961,382.78
PV of Terminal Value (M)19,273.8620,215.5421,193.66
Equity Value (M)24,517.4325,622.7826,769.05
Shares Outstanding (M)83.0283.0283.02
Fair Value$295.31$308.62$322.43
Upside / Downside121.58%131.57%141.93%

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