Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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PT Jaya Konstruksi Manggala Pratama Tbk (JKON.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ConglomeratesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$53.43 - $78.27$65.40
Multi-Stage$141.27 - $155.80$148.39
Blended Fair Value$106.89
Current Price$88.00
Upside21.47%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS3.39%0.12%4.253.000.000.032.403.605.806.404.504.30
YoY Growth--41.67%929,336.93%-98.83%-98.85%-33.30%-37.96%-9.37%42.22%4.65%2.38%
Dividend Yield--6.07%3.16%0.00%0.03%1.17%0.87%1.71%1.22%0.75%0.54%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)116,686.85
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)53,002.69
(=) Cash Retained (M)63,684.16
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)23,337.3714,585.868,751.51
Cash Retained (M)63,684.1663,684.1663,684.16
(-) Cash Required (M)-23,337.37-14,585.86-8,751.51
(=) Excess Retained (M)40,346.7949,098.3154,932.65
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)16,308.5216,308.5216,308.52
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.473.013.37
LTM Dividend per Share3.253.253.25
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.473.013.37
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.726.266.62
WACC / Discount Rate6.34%6.34%6.34%
Growth Rate-3.95%-2.95%-1.95%
Fair Value$53.43$65.40$78.27
Upside / Downside-39.29%-25.68%-11.05%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)116,686.85113,248.77109,911.98106,673.51103,530.46100,480.02103,494.42
Payout Ratio45.42%54.34%63.25%72.17%81.08%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)53,002.6961,537.5869,523.5276,985.4383,947.2690,432.0295,732.34

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.34%6.34%6.34%
Growth Rate-3.95%-2.95%-1.95%
Year 1 PV (M)57,270.0457,866.2758,462.50
Year 2 PV (M)60,215.1661,475.4762,748.83
Year 3 PV (M)62,053.9964,012.3466,011.47
Year 4 PV (M)62,973.0665,636.7168,383.98
Year 5 PV (M)63,133.1666,488.6569,985.33
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,998,323.692,104,533.562,215,212.18
Equity Value (M)2,303,969.102,420,013.012,540,804.30
Shares Outstanding (M)16,308.5216,308.5216,308.52
Fair Value$141.27$148.39$155.80
Upside / Downside60.54%68.62%77.04%

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