Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Jabil Inc. (JBL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$45.24 - $66.05$55.29
Multi-Stage$59.21 - $64.99$62.04
Blended Fair Value$58.67
Current Price$204.83
Upside-71.36%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-6.53%-5.46%0.320.380.400.430.450.450.470.520.540.56
YoY Growth---14.29%-6.67%-6.25%-4.00%-0.92%-2.97%-10.08%-3.55%-3.97%-1.11%
Dividend Yield--0.16%0.28%0.35%0.60%0.77%1.18%1.20%2.08%1.86%2.65%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)657.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)36.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)621.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)131.4082.1349.28
Cash Retained (M)621.00621.00621.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-131.40-82.13-49.28
(=) Excess Retained (M)489.60538.88571.73
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)111.45111.45111.45
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.394.845.13
LTM Dividend per Share0.320.320.32
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.394.845.13
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.725.165.45
WACC / Discount Rate10.20%10.20%10.20%
Growth Rate-0.21%0.79%1.79%
Fair Value$45.24$55.29$66.05
Upside / Downside-77.91%-73.01%-67.75%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)657.00662.22667.48672.79678.13683.52704.03
Payout Ratio5.48%22.38%39.29%56.19%73.10%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)36.00148.23262.24378.05495.69615.17651.22

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.20%10.20%10.20%
Growth Rate-0.21%0.79%1.79%
Year 1 PV (M)133.18134.51135.85
Year 2 PV (M)211.68215.95220.25
Year 3 PV (M)274.18282.50291.00
Year 4 PV (M)322.99336.13349.67
Year 5 PV (M)360.14378.55397.70
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,296.325,567.055,848.74
Equity Value (M)6,598.486,914.697,243.21
Shares Outstanding (M)111.45111.45111.45
Fair Value$59.21$62.04$64.99
Upside / Downside-71.10%-69.71%-68.27%

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