Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

ISS A/S (ISS.CO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Specialty Business ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$121.89 - $179.36$149.49
Multi-Stage$178.51 - $195.97$187.07
Blended Fair Value$168.28
Current Price$176.60
Upside-4.71%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-21.46%0.00%2.412.210.000.000.008.068.068.0311.855.10
YoY Growth--8.97%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.28%-32.22%132.19%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.52%1.76%0.00%0.00%0.00%8.62%3.90%3.72%4.49%1.94%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,733.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)534.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,199.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)546.60341.63204.98
Cash Retained (M)2,199.002,199.002,199.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-546.60-341.63-204.98
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,652.401,857.381,994.03
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)176.53176.53176.53
(=) Excess Retained per Share9.3610.5211.30
LTM Dividend per Share3.023.023.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share9.3610.5211.30
(=) Adjusted Dividend12.3913.5514.32
WACC / Discount Rate9.32%9.32%9.32%
Growth Rate-0.77%0.23%1.23%
Fair Value$121.89$149.49$179.36
Upside / Downside-30.98%-15.35%1.56%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,733.002,739.352,745.722,752.102,758.492,764.902,847.85
Payout Ratio19.54%33.63%47.72%61.82%75.91%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)534.00921.281,310.351,701.222,093.912,488.412,634.26

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.32%9.32%9.32%
Growth Rate-0.77%0.23%1.23%
Year 1 PV (M)834.36842.77851.18
Year 2 PV (M)1,074.771,096.541,118.53
Year 3 PV (M)1,263.741,302.331,341.70
Year 4 PV (M)1,408.701,466.351,525.75
Year 5 PV (M)1,516.171,594.121,675.24
PV of Terminal Value (M)25,415.6926,722.3728,082.26
Equity Value (M)31,513.4333,024.4934,594.66
Shares Outstanding (M)176.53176.53176.53
Fair Value$178.51$187.07$195.97
Upside / Downside1.08%5.93%10.97%

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