Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Imdex Limited (IMD.AX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$27.45 - $32.34$30.31
Multi-Stage$19.42 - $21.31$20.35
Blended Fair Value$25.33
Current Price$2.72
Upside831.20%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-3.44%0.00%0.030.030.030.020.010.030.010.000.000.01
YoY Growth---22.03%21.37%15.75%94.11%-60.53%467.28%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.98%1.53%1.49%1.33%0.62%2.91%0.45%0.00%0.00%3.53%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)87.59
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)32.71
(=) Cash Retained (M)54.88
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)17.5210.956.57
Cash Retained (M)54.8854.8854.88
(-) Cash Required (M)-17.52-10.95-6.57
(=) Excess Retained (M)37.3643.9348.31
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)538.63538.63538.63
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.070.080.09
LTM Dividend per Share0.060.060.06
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.070.080.09
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.130.140.15
WACC / Discount Rate1.51%1.51%1.51%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$27.45$30.31$32.34
Upside / Downside909.16%1,014.23%1,088.96%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)87.5993.2899.35105.80112.68120.00123.60
Payout Ratio37.34%47.88%58.41%68.94%79.47%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)32.7144.6658.0272.9489.55108.00114.33

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate1.51%1.51%1.51%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)43.5843.9944.41
Year 2 PV (M)55.2656.3157.37
Year 3 PV (M)67.7869.7371.71
Year 4 PV (M)81.2084.3387.54
Year 5 PV (M)95.58100.19104.99
PV of Terminal Value (M)10,117.9610,606.6611,114.07
Equity Value (M)10,461.3610,961.2211,480.08
Shares Outstanding (M)538.63538.63538.63
Fair Value$19.42$20.35$21.31
Upside / Downside614.05%648.17%683.58%

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