Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Idun Industrier AB (publ) (IDUN-B.ST)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$712.77 - $839.77$786.98
Multi-Stage$179.96 - $196.88$188.26
Blended Fair Value$487.62
Current Price$339.00
Upside43.84%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS82.11%0.00%5.220.833.452.040.200.260.540.190.000.12
YoY Growth--528.02%-75.90%69.10%898.22%-21.61%-51.84%192.22%0.00%-100.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.60%0.43%1.53%0.70%0.11%0.15%0.31%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)48.61
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)47.11
(=) Cash Retained (M)1.50
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)9.726.083.65
Cash Retained (M)1.501.501.50
(-) Cash Required (M)-9.72-6.08-3.65
(=) Excess Retained (M)-8.22-4.58-2.15
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)11.5111.5111.51
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.71-0.40-0.19
LTM Dividend per Share4.094.094.09
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.71-0.40-0.19
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.383.693.91
WACC / Discount Rate5.51%5.51%5.51%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$712.77$786.98$839.77
Upside / Downside110.26%132.15%147.72%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)48.6151.7755.1458.7262.5466.6068.60
Payout Ratio96.91%95.53%94.15%92.77%91.38%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)47.1149.4651.9154.4757.1559.9463.46

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.51%5.51%5.51%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)46.4446.8847.32
Year 2 PV (M)45.7646.6347.51
Year 3 PV (M)45.0946.3847.70
Year 4 PV (M)44.4146.1247.87
Year 5 PV (M)43.7445.8548.04
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,846.341,935.522,028.11
Equity Value (M)2,071.772,167.382,266.56
Shares Outstanding (M)11.5111.5111.51
Fair Value$179.96$188.26$196.88
Upside / Downside-46.91%-44.46%-41.92%

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