Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Hammond Power Solutions Inc. (HPS-A.TO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,127.19 - $1,328.02$1,244.55
Multi-Stage$757.23 - $831.12$793.49
Blended Fair Value$1,019.02
Current Price$125.43
Upside712.42%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS28.70%15.28%0.970.550.380.340.340.280.240.240.240.24
YoY Growth--77.26%43.72%13.64%0.40%21.48%16.64%0.32%0.04%0.04%0.25%
Dividend Yield--1.28%0.38%1.00%2.68%3.35%4.32%3.31%2.58%3.64%3.68%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)79.59
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)13.09
(=) Cash Retained (M)66.50
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)15.929.955.97
Cash Retained (M)66.5066.5066.50
(-) Cash Required (M)-15.92-9.95-5.97
(=) Excess Retained (M)50.5856.5560.53
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)11.9211.9211.92
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.244.745.08
LTM Dividend per Share1.101.101.10
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.244.745.08
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.345.846.18
WACC / Discount Rate2.50%2.50%2.50%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$1,127.19$1,244.55$1,328.02
Upside / Downside798.66%892.23%958.77%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)79.5984.7690.2796.14102.39109.04112.31
Payout Ratio16.45%31.16%45.87%60.58%75.29%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)13.0926.4141.4158.2477.0998.14103.89

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate2.50%2.50%2.50%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)25.5225.7726.01
Year 2 PV (M)38.6739.4140.15
Year 3 PV (M)52.5754.0855.62
Year 4 PV (M)67.2469.8372.49
Year 5 PV (M)82.7386.7390.88
PV of Terminal Value (M)8,758.289,181.319,620.53
Equity Value (M)9,025.039,457.139,905.68
Shares Outstanding (M)11.9211.9211.92
Fair Value$757.23$793.49$831.12
Upside / Downside503.71%532.62%562.62%

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