Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Henderson Far East Income Limited (HFEL.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset Management - IncomeSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3.52 - $5.04$4.26
Multi-Stage$5.94 - $6.50$6.21
Blended Fair Value$5.24
Current Price$2.31
Upside126.70%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS6.17%7.35%0.260.240.230.220.210.190.170.160.140.14
YoY Growth--6.95%4.13%6.32%5.95%7.55%12.68%8.09%8.73%5.73%7.58%
Dividend Yield--11.14%10.60%10.60%7.73%6.79%6.29%4.69%4.39%3.79%3.97%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)84.44
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)60.58
(=) Cash Retained (M)23.86
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)16.8910.566.33
Cash Retained (M)23.8623.8623.86
(-) Cash Required (M)-16.89-10.56-6.33
(=) Excess Retained (M)6.9713.3017.53
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)165.95165.95165.95
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.040.080.11
LTM Dividend per Share0.370.370.37
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.040.080.11
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.410.450.47
WACC / Discount Rate9.34%9.34%9.34%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$3.52$4.26$5.04
Upside / Downside52.23%84.46%118.06%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)84.4483.6082.7681.9381.1180.3082.71
Payout Ratio71.74%75.40%79.05%82.70%86.35%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)60.5863.0365.4267.7670.0472.2776.51

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.34%9.34%9.34%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)57.0657.6458.22
Year 2 PV (M)53.6254.7255.83
Year 3 PV (M)50.2751.8353.42
Year 4 PV (M)47.0549.0051.01
Year 5 PV (M)43.9546.2448.62
PV of Terminal Value (M)733.40771.58811.35
Equity Value (M)985.341,031.011,078.44
Shares Outstanding (M)165.95165.95165.95
Fair Value$5.94$6.21$6.50
Upside / Downside157.03%168.94%181.32%

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