Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Hanza AB (publ) (HANZA.ST)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$91.56 - $210.49$133.67
Multi-Stage$65.04 - $71.06$68.00
Blended Fair Value$100.84
Current Price$101.40
Upside-0.56%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS46.52%0.00%1.150.640.400.200.000.170.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--79.31%61.11%102.25%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.60%0.96%0.52%0.44%0.00%1.56%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)201.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)37.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)164.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)40.2025.1315.08
Cash Retained (M)164.00164.00164.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-40.20-25.13-15.08
(=) Excess Retained (M)123.80138.88148.93
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)45.1745.1745.17
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.743.073.30
LTM Dividend per Share0.820.820.82
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.743.073.30
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.563.894.12
WACC / Discount Rate9.60%9.60%9.60%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$91.56$133.67$210.49
Upside / Downside-9.71%31.83%107.59%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)201.00214.07227.98242.80258.58275.39283.65
Payout Ratio18.41%32.73%47.04%61.36%75.68%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)37.0070.06107.25148.99195.70247.85262.38

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.60%9.60%9.60%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)63.3263.9264.52
Year 2 PV (M)87.6189.2890.97
Year 3 PV (M)110.00113.16116.38
Year 4 PV (M)130.59135.61140.78
Year 5 PV (M)149.49156.71164.20
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,396.892,512.672,632.87
Equity Value (M)2,937.913,071.353,209.72
Shares Outstanding (M)45.1745.1745.17
Fair Value$65.04$68.00$71.06
Upside / Downside-35.85%-32.94%-29.92%

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