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Definitive Analysis

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goeasy Ltd. (GSY.TO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - Credit ServicesSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,056.90 - $2,732.08$2,560.36
Multi-Stage$388.30 - $425.13$406.38
Blended Fair Value$1,483.37
Current Price$173.37
Upside755.61%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS34.31%32.01%4.293.603.042.211.410.980.690.530.380.30
YoY Growth--19.40%18.09%37.72%56.87%43.45%42.54%31.27%39.63%23.43%14.07%
Dividend Yield--2.84%2.28%3.19%1.58%1.13%2.70%1.62%1.44%1.23%1.57%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)232.86
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)61.06
(=) Cash Retained (M)171.80
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)46.5729.1117.46
Cash Retained (M)171.80171.80171.80
(-) Cash Required (M)-46.57-29.11-17.46
(=) Excess Retained (M)125.23142.69154.34
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)16.9516.9516.95
(=) Excess Retained per Share7.398.429.11
LTM Dividend per Share3.603.603.60
(+) Excess Retained per Share7.398.429.11
(=) Adjusted Dividend10.9912.0212.71
WACC / Discount Rate6.60%6.60%6.60%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$1,056.90$2,560.36$2,732.08
Upside / Downside509.62%1,376.82%1,475.87%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)232.86247.99264.11281.28299.56319.03328.61
Payout Ratio26.22%38.98%51.73%64.49%77.24%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)61.0696.66136.63181.39231.39287.13303.96

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.60%6.60%6.60%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)89.8390.6891.53
Year 2 PV (M)118.00120.24122.51
Year 3 PV (M)145.58149.76154.01
Year 4 PV (M)172.58179.21186.04
Year 5 PV (M)199.01208.62218.60
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,856.796,139.676,433.38
Equity Value (M)6,581.776,888.187,206.08
Shares Outstanding (M)16.9516.9516.95
Fair Value$388.30$406.38$425.13
Upside / Downside123.97%134.40%145.22%

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