Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

PT Equity Development Investment Tbk (GSMF.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Insurance - DiversifiedSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$17.99 - $25.43$21.67
Multi-Stage$28.78 - $31.62$30.17
Blended Fair Value$25.92
Current Price$97.00
Upside-73.28%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS1.85%3.45%0.290.240.260.420.280.260.250.250.270.33
YoY Growth--21.21%-8.33%-38.21%49.40%6.85%5.80%0.00%-8.88%-18.29%62.59%
Dividend Yield--0.54%0.48%0.46%0.42%0.23%0.23%0.22%0.19%0.24%0.33%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)39,826.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)9,251.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)30,575.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)7,965.204,978.252,986.95
Cash Retained (M)30,575.0030,575.0030,575.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-7,965.20-4,978.25-2,986.95
(=) Excess Retained (M)22,609.8025,596.7527,588.05
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)14,230.4014,230.4014,230.40
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.591.801.94
LTM Dividend per Share0.650.650.65
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.591.801.94
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.242.452.59
WACC / Discount Rate9.51%9.51%9.51%
Growth Rate-2.60%-1.60%-0.60%
Fair Value$17.99$21.67$25.43
Upside / Downside-81.45%-77.66%-73.78%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)39,826.0039,187.4538,559.1337,940.8937,332.5736,733.9937,836.01
Payout Ratio23.23%36.58%49.94%63.29%76.65%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)9,251.0014,335.8819,255.3224,013.3328,613.8133,060.5934,998.31

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.51%9.51%9.51%
Growth Rate-2.60%-1.60%-0.60%
Year 1 PV (M)12,957.3313,090.3713,223.40
Year 2 PV (M)15,730.1616,054.8316,382.82
Year 3 PV (M)17,730.7018,282.4618,845.56
Year 4 PV (M)19,095.9119,892.3220,713.39
Year 5 PV (M)19,941.9020,986.8822,075.22
PV of Terminal Value (M)324,045.80341,026.30358,711.29
Equity Value (M)409,501.80429,333.16449,951.69
Shares Outstanding (M)14,230.4014,230.4014,230.40
Fair Value$28.78$30.17$31.62
Upside / Downside-70.33%-68.90%-67.40%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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