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Definitive Analysis

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Gentera, S.A.B. de C.V. (GENTERA.MX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - Credit ServicesSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$375.81 - $971.48$910.42
Multi-Stage$138.26 - $151.36$144.69
Blended Fair Value$527.55
Current Price$40.09
Upside1,215.93%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS26.07%0.00%1.211.170.600.000.000.380.690.800.800.80
YoY Growth--3.63%94.04%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-45.30%-13.35%-0.16%0.97%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.84%4.21%3.05%0.00%0.00%4.20%4.52%6.29%2.60%2.34%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)7,619.07
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,144.98
(=) Cash Retained (M)5,474.10
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,523.81952.38571.43
Cash Retained (M)5,474.105,474.105,474.10
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,523.81-952.38-571.43
(=) Excess Retained (M)3,950.284,521.714,902.67
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,559.721,559.721,559.72
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.532.903.14
LTM Dividend per Share1.381.381.38
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.532.903.14
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.914.274.52
WACC / Discount Rate6.60%6.60%6.60%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$375.81$910.42$971.48
Upside / Downside837.43%2,170.94%2,323.25%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)7,619.078,114.318,641.749,203.469,801.6810,438.7910,751.95
Payout Ratio28.15%40.52%52.89%65.26%77.63%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,144.983,288.104,570.766,006.287,609.109,394.919,945.56

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.60%6.60%6.60%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)3,055.643,084.603,113.57
Year 2 PV (M)3,947.334,022.524,098.41
Year 3 PV (M)4,820.354,958.725,099.72
Year 4 PV (M)5,674.985,893.226,117.70
Year 5 PV (M)6,511.506,826.017,152.56
PV of Terminal Value (M)191,633.85200,889.84210,500.07
Equity Value (M)215,643.65225,674.91236,082.03
Shares Outstanding (M)1,559.721,559.721,559.72
Fair Value$138.26$144.69$151.36
Upside / Downside244.87%260.91%277.55%

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