Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Foxtons Group plc (FOXT.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - ServicesSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.67 - $1.02$0.83
Multi-Stage$1.08 - $1.18$1.13
Blended Fair Value$0.98
Current Price$0.68
Upside44.81%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%-20.64%0.010.010.000.000.000.000.000.010.070.09
YoY Growth--2.28%83.25%155.06%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-64.48%-90.37%-22.44%-0.60%
Dividend Yield--1.32%1.89%1.63%0.48%0.00%0.00%0.45%0.82%6.93%4.85%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)22.81
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)6.27
(=) Cash Retained (M)16.55
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)4.562.851.71
Cash Retained (M)16.5516.5516.55
(-) Cash Required (M)-4.56-2.85-1.71
(=) Excess Retained (M)11.9813.7014.84
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)306.98306.98306.98
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.040.040.05
LTM Dividend per Share0.020.020.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.040.040.05
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.060.070.07
WACC / Discount Rate8.16%8.16%8.16%
Growth Rate-0.69%0.31%1.31%
Fair Value$0.67$0.83$1.02
Upside / Downside-1.44%22.76%50.20%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)22.8122.8822.9523.0323.1023.1723.86
Payout Ratio27.46%39.97%52.48%64.99%77.49%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)6.279.1512.0514.9617.9020.8522.07

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.16%8.16%8.16%
Growth Rate-0.69%0.31%1.31%
Year 1 PV (M)8.378.468.54
Year 2 PV (M)10.0910.3010.50
Year 3 PV (M)11.4811.8312.18
Year 4 PV (M)12.5613.0813.61
Year 5 PV (M)13.4014.0914.80
PV of Terminal Value (M)274.92289.05303.75
Equity Value (M)330.83346.79363.38
Shares Outstanding (M)306.98306.98306.98
Fair Value$1.08$1.13$1.18
Upside / Downside59.19%66.87%74.85%

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