Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Fortune Brands Innovations, Inc. (FBIN)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$20.00 - $29.07$24.39
Multi-Stage$28.48 - $31.20$29.82
Blended Fair Value$27.11
Current Price$53.27
Upside-49.12%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-0.56%4.45%0.970.951.191.161.091.000.940.900.800.73
YoY Growth--2.40%-19.78%1.82%7.28%8.37%6.77%4.44%12.32%9.72%15.63%
Dividend Yield--1.60%1.12%2.02%1.83%1.33%2.71%2.29%1.84%1.54%1.52%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)327.60
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)120.20
(=) Cash Retained (M)207.40
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)65.5240.9524.57
Cash Retained (M)207.40207.40207.40
(-) Cash Required (M)-65.52-40.95-24.57
(=) Excess Retained (M)141.88166.45182.83
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)122.78122.78122.78
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.161.361.49
LTM Dividend per Share0.980.980.98
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.161.361.49
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.132.332.47
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate-0.61%0.39%1.39%
Fair Value$20.00$24.39$29.07
Upside / Downside-62.46%-54.21%-45.43%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)327.60328.89330.18331.48332.78334.09344.11
Payout Ratio36.69%47.35%58.01%68.68%79.34%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)120.20155.74191.55227.65264.02300.68318.30

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate-0.61%0.39%1.39%
Year 1 PV (M)140.17141.58142.99
Year 2 PV (M)155.17158.30161.47
Year 3 PV (M)165.97171.03176.19
Year 4 PV (M)173.24180.32187.61
Year 5 PV (M)177.57186.69196.17
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,684.932,822.742,966.16
Equity Value (M)3,497.053,660.663,830.59
Shares Outstanding (M)122.78122.78122.78
Fair Value$28.48$29.82$31.20
Upside / Downside-46.53%-44.03%-41.43%

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