Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Thessaloniki Water Supply & Sewerage Co S.A. (EYAPS.AT)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Regulated WaterSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.76 - $0.99$0.88
Multi-Stage$3.18 - $3.57$3.37
Blended Fair Value$2.12
Current Price$3.29
Upside-35.41%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-26.06%-21.06%0.030.000.210.220.260.120.210.220.240.23
YoY Growth--16,366.67%-99.92%-2.01%-16.75%115.32%-42.29%-3.14%-9.83%4.11%-18.94%
Dividend Yield--0.84%0.00%6.50%4.71%5.99%2.55%4.77%4.80%6.97%7.76%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)10.33
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)9.33
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2.071.290.77
Cash Retained (M)9.339.339.33
(-) Cash Required (M)-2.07-1.29-0.77
(=) Excess Retained (M)7.268.048.55
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)36.5936.5936.59
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.200.220.23
LTM Dividend per Share0.030.030.03
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.200.220.23
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.230.250.26
WACC / Discount Rate5.61%5.61%5.61%
Growth Rate-18.46%-17.46%-16.46%
Fair Value$0.76$0.88$0.99
Upside / Downside-76.75%-73.14%-69.96%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)10.338.527.035.814.793.964.07
Payout Ratio9.65%25.72%41.79%57.86%73.93%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1.002.192.943.363.543.563.77

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.61%5.61%5.61%
Growth Rate-18.46%-17.46%-16.46%
Year 1 PV (M)2.052.082.10
Year 2 PV (M)2.572.642.70
Year 3 PV (M)2.752.852.96
Year 4 PV (M)2.712.852.99
Year 5 PV (M)2.552.712.88
PV of Terminal Value (M)103.53110.04116.87
Equity Value (M)116.17123.16130.49
Shares Outstanding (M)36.5936.5936.59
Fair Value$3.18$3.37$3.57
Upside / Downside-3.49%2.32%8.41%

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