Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Eletromidia S.A. (ELMD3.SA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Advertising AgenciesSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$27.45 - $156.01$51.76
Multi-Stage$15.70 - $17.18$16.43
Blended Fair Value$34.09
Current Price$30.10
Upside13.27%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS103.20%7.23%0.080.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%
Dividend Yield--0.28%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.01%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)112.11
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)12.06
(=) Cash Retained (M)100.05
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)22.4214.018.41
Cash Retained (M)100.05100.05100.05
(-) Cash Required (M)-22.42-14.01-8.41
(=) Excess Retained (M)77.6386.0491.64
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)142.91142.91142.91
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.540.600.64
LTM Dividend per Share0.080.080.08
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.540.600.64
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.630.690.73
WACC / Discount Rate7.91%7.91%7.91%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$27.45$51.76$156.01
Upside / Downside-8.82%71.97%418.31%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)112.11119.39127.15135.42144.22153.59158.20
Payout Ratio10.75%26.60%42.45%58.30%74.15%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)12.0631.7653.9878.95106.94138.24146.34

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.91%7.91%7.91%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)29.1629.4329.71
Year 2 PV (M)45.4946.3547.23
Year 3 PV (M)61.0762.8364.61
Year 4 PV (M)75.9478.8681.86
Year 5 PV (M)90.1194.4698.98
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,941.922,035.722,133.10
Equity Value (M)2,243.692,347.652,455.50
Shares Outstanding (M)142.91142.91142.91
Fair Value$15.70$16.43$17.18
Upside / Downside-47.84%-45.42%-42.92%

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