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Elektro Redes S.A. (EKTR3.SA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Regulated ElectricSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$518.76 - $955.58$895.52
Multi-Stage$151.55 - $165.86$158.58
Blended Fair Value$527.05
Current Price$46.99
Upside1,021.62%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS61.43%22.67%10.183.737.373.240.290.930.002.311.422.68
YoY Growth--173.27%-49.44%127.39%1,001.75%-68.33%0.00%-100.00%62.85%-46.89%102.76%
Dividend Yield--19.33%7.93%19.96%10.80%1.09%5.31%0.00%11.02%6.46%11.84%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)931.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)441.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)490.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)186.20116.3869.83
Cash Retained (M)490.00490.00490.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-186.20-116.38-69.83
(=) Excess Retained (M)303.80373.63420.18
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)193.76193.76193.76
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.571.932.17
LTM Dividend per Share2.282.282.28
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.571.932.17
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.844.204.44
WACC / Discount Rate6.28%6.28%6.28%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$518.76$895.52$955.58
Upside / Downside1,003.97%1,805.76%1,933.58%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)931.00991.521,055.961,124.601,197.701,275.551,313.82
Payout Ratio47.37%55.89%64.42%72.95%81.47%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)441.00554.20680.26820.37975.811,148.001,215.28

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.28%6.28%6.28%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)516.55521.45526.34
Year 2 PV (M)590.97602.23613.59
Year 3 PV (M)664.26683.33702.76
Year 4 PV (M)736.45764.77793.90
Year 5 PV (M)807.53846.54887.04
PV of Terminal Value (M)26,049.0727,307.2528,613.59
Equity Value (M)29,364.8430,725.5732,137.22
Shares Outstanding (M)193.76193.76193.76
Fair Value$151.55$158.58$165.86
Upside / Downside222.52%237.47%252.97%

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