Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Korporacja Gospodarcza Efekt S.A. (EFK.WA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - ServicesSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$29.07 - $45.46$36.61
Multi-Stage$62.51 - $68.93$65.66
Blended Fair Value$51.14
Current Price$5.50
Upside829.78%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS23.83%-7.77%0.100.000.000.050.000.030.340.310.270.24
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%-100.00%-90.03%10.78%12.50%14.29%7.69%
Dividend Yield--1.56%0.00%0.00%0.76%0.00%1.32%3.78%5.54%2.54%3.10%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)15.04
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)0.49
(=) Cash Retained (M)14.54
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3.011.881.13
Cash Retained (M)14.5414.5414.54
(-) Cash Required (M)-3.01-1.88-1.13
(=) Excess Retained (M)11.5412.6613.42
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)5.005.005.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.312.532.69
LTM Dividend per Share0.100.100.10
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.312.532.69
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.412.632.78
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate-1.72%-0.72%0.28%
Fair Value$29.07$36.61$45.46
Upside / Downside428.51%565.72%726.62%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)15.0414.9314.8214.7214.6114.5114.94
Payout Ratio3.27%20.62%37.96%55.31%72.65%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)0.493.085.638.1410.6113.0513.82

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate-1.72%-0.72%0.28%
Year 1 PV (M)2.862.892.92
Year 2 PV (M)4.874.975.07
Year 3 PV (M)6.556.756.96
Year 4 PV (M)7.958.278.61
Year 5 PV (M)9.099.5610.05
PV of Terminal Value (M)281.02295.61310.79
Equity Value (M)312.33328.05344.41
Shares Outstanding (M)5.005.005.00
Fair Value$62.51$65.66$68.93
Upside / Downside1,036.62%1,093.83%1,153.35%

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