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Definitive Analysis

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The Edinburgh Investment Trust plc (EDIN.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$12.38 - $17.71$15.00
Multi-Stage$19.39 - $21.29$20.32
Blended Fair Value$17.66
Current Price$8.00
Upside120.74%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%-1.15%0.280.290.290.330.320.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---4.75%-0.66%-12.18%2.04%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%
Dividend Yield--3.72%4.22%4.41%5.23%5.42%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)268.22
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)61.92
(=) Cash Retained (M)206.30
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)53.6433.5320.12
Cash Retained (M)206.30206.30206.30
(-) Cash Required (M)-53.64-33.53-20.12
(=) Excess Retained (M)152.65172.77186.18
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)148.73148.73148.73
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.031.161.25
LTM Dividend per Share0.420.420.42
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.031.161.25
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.441.581.67
WACC / Discount Rate9.42%9.42%9.42%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$12.38$15.00$17.71
Upside / Downside54.80%87.45%121.42%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)268.22265.54262.88260.25257.65255.07262.73
Payout Ratio23.09%36.47%49.85%63.23%76.62%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)61.9296.84131.05164.57197.40229.57243.02

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.42%9.42%9.42%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)87.6188.5089.40
Year 2 PV (M)107.26109.46111.69
Year 3 PV (M)121.86125.63129.47
Year 4 PV (M)132.24137.73143.37
Year 5 PV (M)139.13146.38153.92
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,295.172,414.692,539.13
Equity Value (M)2,883.293,022.393,166.99
Shares Outstanding (M)148.73148.73148.73
Fair Value$19.39$20.32$21.29
Upside / Downside142.33%154.02%166.17%

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