Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Eurocell plc (ECEL.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.51 - $2.24$1.86
Multi-Stage$2.90 - $3.18$3.04
Blended Fair Value$2.45
Current Price$1.60
Upside53.02%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-8.28%0.00%0.060.100.100.030.000.090.090.080.070.03
YoY Growth---40.78%-7.21%208.33%0.00%-100.00%3.09%4.76%8.80%196.30%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.33%7.34%7.00%1.39%0.00%3.61%3.98%3.78%4.17%1.31%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)20.10
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)12.20
(=) Cash Retained (M)7.90
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)4.022.511.51
Cash Retained (M)7.907.907.90
(-) Cash Required (M)-4.02-2.51-1.51
(=) Excess Retained (M)3.885.396.39
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)107.15107.15107.15
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.040.050.06
LTM Dividend per Share0.110.110.11
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.040.050.06
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.150.160.17
WACC / Discount Rate7.74%7.74%7.74%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$1.51$1.86$2.24
Upside / Downside-5.62%16.22%40.14%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)20.1019.9019.7019.5019.3119.1119.69
Payout Ratio60.70%66.56%72.42%78.28%84.14%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)12.2013.2414.2715.2716.2517.2018.21

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.74%7.74%7.74%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)12.1712.2912.42
Year 2 PV (M)12.0412.2912.54
Year 3 PV (M)11.8412.2112.58
Year 4 PV (M)11.5812.0612.55
Year 5 PV (M)11.2611.8512.46
PV of Terminal Value (M)251.63264.74278.38
Equity Value (M)310.53325.43340.93
Shares Outstanding (M)107.15107.15107.15
Fair Value$2.90$3.04$3.18
Upside / Downside81.13%89.83%98.87%

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