Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Dexterra Group Inc. (DXT.TO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Specialty Business ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$56.31 - $125.91$118.00
Multi-Stage$19.06 - $20.85$19.94
Blended Fair Value$68.97
Current Price$9.18
Upside651.30%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS48.45%0.00%0.360.360.360.320.080.050.200.180.210.59
YoY Growth---1.44%-0.18%12.24%313.23%58.00%-74.83%6.91%-14.45%-63.62%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.45%6.30%7.30%4.09%1.33%3.52%2.14%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)40.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)22.05
(=) Cash Retained (M)17.95
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)8.005.003.00
Cash Retained (M)17.9517.9517.95
(-) Cash Required (M)-8.00-5.00-3.00
(=) Excess Retained (M)9.9512.9514.95
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)63.1863.1863.18
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.160.210.24
LTM Dividend per Share0.350.350.35
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.160.210.24
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.510.550.59
WACC / Discount Rate6.45%6.45%6.45%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$56.31$118.00$125.91
Upside / Downside513.36%1,185.36%1,271.57%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)40.0042.6045.3748.3251.4654.8056.45
Payout Ratio55.12%62.09%69.07%76.05%83.02%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)22.0526.4531.3436.7442.7249.3252.21

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.45%6.45%6.45%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)24.6224.8525.08
Year 2 PV (M)27.1427.6528.18
Year 3 PV (M)29.6130.4631.33
Year 4 PV (M)32.0433.2734.54
Year 5 PV (M)34.4236.0937.81
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,056.581,107.611,160.60
Equity Value (M)1,204.411,259.931,317.54
Shares Outstanding (M)63.1863.1863.18
Fair Value$19.06$19.94$20.85
Upside / Downside107.66%117.23%127.16%

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