Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Medical Facilities Corporation (DR.TO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - Care FacilitiesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$15.13 - $20.30$17.79
Multi-Stage$42.87 - $47.62$45.20
Blended Fair Value$31.50
Current Price$11.61
Upside171.28%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-24.03%-15.28%0.270.270.330.300.261.061.181.171.151.21
YoY Growth--0.53%-19.00%8.36%17.16%-75.52%-10.76%0.96%1.49%-4.97%-13.42%
Dividend Yield--2.30%3.43%5.58%3.34%4.46%42.54%9.09%10.89%8.34%10.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)80.45
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)5.80
(=) Cash Retained (M)74.65
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)16.0910.066.03
Cash Retained (M)74.6574.6574.65
(-) Cash Required (M)-16.09-10.06-6.03
(=) Excess Retained (M)58.5664.5968.61
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)22.8622.8622.86
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.562.833.00
LTM Dividend per Share0.250.250.25
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.562.833.00
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.823.083.26
WACC / Discount Rate6.83%6.83%6.83%
Growth Rate-9.93%-8.93%-7.93%
Fair Value$15.13$17.79$20.30
Upside / Downside30.30%53.25%74.88%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)80.4573.2666.7260.7655.3350.3951.90
Payout Ratio7.21%23.77%40.33%56.89%73.44%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)5.8017.4226.9134.5640.6345.3548.00

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.83%6.83%6.83%
Growth Rate-9.93%-8.93%-7.93%
Year 1 PV (M)16.1216.3016.48
Year 2 PV (M)23.0623.5824.10
Year 3 PV (M)27.4228.3529.29
Year 4 PV (M)29.8531.2032.59
Year 5 PV (M)30.8432.5934.42
PV of Terminal Value (M)852.72901.12951.70
Equity Value (M)980.021,033.141,088.58
Shares Outstanding (M)22.8622.8622.86
Fair Value$42.87$45.20$47.62
Upside / Downside269.29%289.31%310.20%

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