Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Döhler S.A. (DOHL3.SA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Apparel - ManufacturersSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.50 - $0.72$0.61
Multi-Stage$0.78 - $0.86$0.82
Blended Fair Value$0.71
Current Price$3.85
Upside-81.47%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.270.290.150.140.120.000.060.13
YoY Growth--0.00%-100.00%-8.95%96.59%6.04%12.26%10,591.01%-98.16%-49.84%0.01%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%6.29%5.07%2.82%3.48%2.29%0.03%1.58%4.46%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)5.48
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)0.77
(=) Cash Retained (M)4.71
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1.100.690.41
Cash Retained (M)4.714.714.71
(-) Cash Required (M)-1.10-0.69-0.41
(=) Excess Retained (M)3.614.024.30
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)76.1876.1876.18
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.050.050.06
LTM Dividend per Share0.010.010.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.050.050.06
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.060.060.07
WACC / Discount Rate9.28%9.28%9.28%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$0.50$0.61$0.72
Upside / Downside-87.00%-84.24%-81.36%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)5.485.435.375.325.275.225.37
Payout Ratio14.11%29.29%44.47%59.65%74.82%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)0.771.592.393.173.944.694.97

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.28%9.28%9.28%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)1.441.461.47
Year 2 PV (M)1.962.002.04
Year 3 PV (M)2.362.432.51
Year 4 PV (M)2.652.762.88
Year 5 PV (M)2.863.013.17
PV of Terminal Value (M)48.2950.8153.43
Equity Value (M)59.5762.4765.49
Shares Outstanding (M)76.1876.1876.18
Fair Value$0.78$0.82$0.86
Upside / Downside-79.69%-78.70%-77.67%

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