Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Domain Holdings Australia Limited (DHG.AX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Internet Content & InformationSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.19 - $1.79$1.47
Multi-Stage$2.45 - $2.69$2.57
Blended Fair Value$2.02
Current Price$2.53
Upside-20.18%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-0.07%0.00%0.060.060.060.010.060.060.050.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%8.11%595.56%-85.59%-8.01%27.25%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.01%1.57%1.83%0.15%1.65%1.85%1.46%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)90.06
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)75.80
(=) Cash Retained (M)14.26
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)18.0111.266.75
Cash Retained (M)14.2614.2614.26
(-) Cash Required (M)-18.01-11.26-6.75
(=) Excess Retained (M)-3.753.007.51
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)635.92635.92635.92
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.010.000.01
LTM Dividend per Share0.120.120.12
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.010.000.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.110.120.13
WACC / Discount Rate7.33%7.33%7.33%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$1.19$1.47$1.79
Upside / Downside-52.99%-41.82%-29.41%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)90.0689.1688.2787.3886.5185.6588.21
Payout Ratio84.16%85.33%86.50%87.67%88.83%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)75.8076.0876.3576.6176.8577.0881.60

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.33%7.33%7.33%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)70.1770.8871.60
Year 2 PV (M)64.9466.2767.62
Year 3 PV (M)60.0961.9563.85
Year 4 PV (M)55.6057.9060.28
Year 5 PV (M)51.4354.1156.89
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,255.901,321.301,389.40
Equity Value (M)1,558.121,632.411,709.63
Shares Outstanding (M)635.92635.92635.92
Fair Value$2.45$2.57$2.69
Upside / Downside-3.16%1.46%6.26%

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