Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Deva Holding A.S. (DEVA.IS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & GenericSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$49.05 - $190.86$83.14
Multi-Stage$30.21 - $33.06$31.61
Blended Fair Value$57.37
Current Price$66.45
Upside-13.66%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%2.281.380.860.490.260.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--65.57%60.43%76.00%84.89%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.82%2.02%2.27%1.53%0.87%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)336.72
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)27.21
(=) Cash Retained (M)309.52
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)67.3442.0925.25
Cash Retained (M)309.52309.52309.52
(-) Cash Required (M)-67.34-42.09-25.25
(=) Excess Retained (M)242.17267.43284.26
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)201.98201.98201.98
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.201.321.41
LTM Dividend per Share0.130.130.13
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.201.321.41
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.331.461.54
WACC / Discount Rate8.37%8.37%8.37%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$49.05$83.14$190.86
Upside / Downside-26.18%25.12%187.22%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)336.72358.61381.92406.75433.19461.34475.18
Payout Ratio8.08%24.46%40.85%57.23%73.62%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)27.2187.73156.01232.79318.89415.21439.54

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.37%8.37%8.37%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)80.2080.9681.72
Year 2 PV (M)130.36132.84135.35
Year 3 PV (M)177.81182.92188.12
Year 4 PV (M)222.66231.22240.03
Year 5 PV (M)265.01277.81291.10
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,225.625,478.025,740.08
Equity Value (M)6,101.666,383.776,676.40
Shares Outstanding (M)201.98201.98201.98
Fair Value$30.21$31.61$33.06
Upside / Downside-54.54%-52.44%-50.26%

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